I don’t think we’re in a recession: I think we’re in the middle of a permanent adjustment. For that same reason, there isn’t going to be a “recovery.” There’s going to be whatever’s next. I don’t believe the jobs are coming back. Ever. Because everything is actually different now, but most people don’t see it. Talking about jobs as though they were an entitlement is over. The idea that the government can fix anything, no matter what party is in the driver’s seat, is a joke. The days of history when the people in charge were brave, had guts, and stood up for what they believed in are just that: history.
America as we once knew it will never be great again in that “World War II” sort of way.
You might think that sounds depressing. It is, a little. The despicable wormy spinelessness of large organizations is eating itself alive. We don’t know what’s going to happen next. Everything could collapse. Or, within twenty years, we may very well have general artificial intelligence-level computing which will then further spur a massive spike in medical and materials research that just might prolong human life and end much suffering. I think that’s possible, but until (or if) we get there, things are going to be rough for a lot of people. Personally, I feel it’s going to be a close race between collapse and a new resurgence. I’m rooting for resurgence to win.
I feel good about my own prospects, because I run a web-based business and I have knowledge, creativity, and skills that are going to enable me to thrive (and not just merely survive). I’m in this place because I’ve been heading here since 1994. When other folks were losing their jobs, I deliberately (and in full possession of my mental faculties) quit my job. I keep reading stories about people who are starting their own businesses after losing their jobs. I think that’s awesome. The ones who are already internet-savvy are going to be able to pull it off.
But the people who are just now lifting up their eyes? The ones just now getting an inkling of how it’s all really changing forever? That is a tough spot to be in right now.
But it’s still better than not having a clue at all.
What do you think is really going to happen? Discuss…